1) Mac Soda says Final Cut Studio 4 will be released in 2011, and be a major upgrade, including multicore processing, much faster render and preview times. User Interface will stay unchanged. Hodgetts says it’s possible, but would likely take until 2012, and that the UI would probably change somewhat too.
2) Mac Soda says that Motion will receive a major update, including elements of Apple’s discontinued compositing program, Shake. Hodgetts points out that the two programs are completely different. Like Hodgetts, I’m puzzled about this particular claim. As one of the five people who actually bought Shake, it seems to me that the only element of that ridiculously unfriendly program that could plausibly be ported over to Motion would be the far superior chromakey tool.
3) Mac Soda says DVD Studio Pro will “go the way of the Dodo.” Hodgetts thinks that it will eventually, but not quite yet. I would venture to suggest that rumors of the death of DVDs has been greatly exaggerated. My corporate and agency clients would be very surprised if I were unable to provide them with DVDs of finished projects. For Apple to jettison DVD Studio Pro would be a big mistake.
The bigger question seems to be whether Apple will wind up being a day late and a dollar short. I’ve spent the last 10 years using Final Cut. Does it make sense for me to continue to put up with Apple’s gamma-shifting, price-gouging, the-customer-is-always-wrong attitude, just because I know the program like the back of my hand? Or would I – and the rest of us – be better off jumping ship to products made by Adobe – a company that focuses exclusively on the needs of creative professionals?
UPDATE: This says it all: “Final Cut’s progress has been slowed as Apple has reassigned engineers to work on projects for the company’s iOS devices.” http://macrumo.rs/bmFtYU